Subjective expected utility through stochastic independence

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper studies decision-making in the face of two stochastically independent sources uncertainty. It characterizes axiomatically a Subjective Expected Utility representation preferences where subjective beliefs consist product probability measure. The key axioms this characterization both involve some behavioral notions stochastic independence. Our result can be understood as purely version Anscombe and Aumann (Ann Math Stat 34:199–205, 1963) theorem that avoids controversial use exogenous probabilities by appealing to We also obtain an extension Choquet representations.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Subjective independence and concave expected utility

When a potential hedge between alternatives does not reduce the exposure to uncertainty, we say that the decision maker considers these alternatives structurally similar. We offer a novel approach and suggest that structural similarity is subjective and should be different across decision makers. Structural similarity can be recovered through a property of the individual’s preferences referred ...

متن کامل

Classical subjective expected utility.

We consider decision makers who know that payoff-relevant observations are generated by a process that belongs to a given class M, as postulated in Wald [Wald A (1950) Statistical Decision Functions (Wiley, New York)]. We incorporate this Waldean piece of objective information within an otherwise subjective setting à la Savage [Savage LJ (1954) The Foundations of Statistics (Wiley, New York)] a...

متن کامل

Subjective Probability and Expected Utility, A Stochastic Approximation Evaluation

The topic of this article is stochastic algorithms for evaluation of the utility and subjective probability based on the decision maker’s preferences. The main direction of the presentation is toward development of mathematically grounded algorithms for subjective probability and expected utility evaluation as a function of both the probability and the rank of the alternative. The stochastic as...

متن کامل

Reference-dependent subjective expected utility

A reference-dependent generalisation of subjective expected utility theory is presented. In this theory, preferences between acts depend both on final outcomes and on reference points (which may be uncertain acts). It is characterised by a set of axioms in a Savage-style framework. A restricted form of the theory separates attitudes to end states (encoded in a ‘satisfaction function’) from atti...

متن کامل

Subjective expected utility without preferences

This paper proposes a theory of subjective expected utility based on primitives only involving the fact that an act can be judged either “attractive” or “unattractive”. We give conditions implying that there are a utility function on the set of consequences and a probability distribution on the set of states such that attractive acts have a subjective expected utility above some threshold. The ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Economic Theory

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1432-0479', '0938-2259']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-022-01476-8